Horsham vs Hastings United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
52.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
CRA
2 - 2
HOR
77%
14%
9%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
COR
2 - 1
HOR
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
DOR
7 - 1
HOR
82%
12%
7%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
HOR
4 - 0
CHA
71%
17%
13%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
HOR
4 - 3
FAV
26%
24%
50%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Hastings United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
HAS
3 - 0
GRE
45%
22%
34%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 7
HAS
15%
20%
65%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
SOU
3 - 2
HAS
38%
24%
39%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
HAS
1 - 1
SOU
52%
22%
27%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 4
HAS
47%
23%
29%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |