Horsham vs Cray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
26.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
HOR
2 - 2
CAR
34%
26%
41%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
HOR
4 - 0
KIN
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +3 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
HOR
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
HOR
1 - 1
BOW
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
HOR
2 - 0
HOR
65%
21%
14%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Cray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 0
CRA
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
WIN
2 - 2
CRA
31%
23%
46%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
CRA
3 - 0
MER
63%
19%
19%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
POT
2 - 3
CRA
34%
24%
43%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 0
CRA
17%
20%
64%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -2 |