Horsham vs AFC Hornchurch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
54.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
EAS
1 - 2
HOR
26%
23%
51%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
HOR
2 - 1
MET
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
HOR
0 - 5
CRA
15%
20%
65%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
HAY
0 - 0
HOR
23%
21%
57%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
DOR
2 - 1
HOR
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
HOR
0 - 3
DAG
38%
26%
37%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
HER
1 - 3
HOR
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
NOT
3 - 3
HOR
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
DAR
1 - 2
HOR
46%
25%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
HOR
5 - 4
MAI
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |