AC Horsens vs Aalborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
55%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
6º
10º
9º
51
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
HIL
0 - 0
ACH
21%
26%
53%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ACH
3 - 1
VEN
49%
25%
27%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
HOB
0 - 1
ACH
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
ACH
0 - 0
B93
51%
24%
26%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
ACH
3 - 0
NAE
56%
24%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Aalborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
VEN
1 - 3
AAB
12%
21%
66%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
AAB
2 - 3
FRE
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
AAB
2 - 0
HBK
68%
21%
11%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
SON
1 - 1
AAB
31%
26%
44%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
VRI
0 - 6
AAB
3%
10%
87%
|
74 | 24 | 50 | +1 |