Horley Town vs Raynes Park Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
50%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
EAS
4 - 1
HOR
68%
18%
15%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
HOR
2 - 3
SHO
27%
22%
51%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SHO
1 - 1
HOR
68%
18%
15%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
HOR
7 - 0
WIC
63%
20%
18%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
BIG
2 - 1
HOR
72%
17%
11%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Raynes Park Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
RAY
0 - 2
TOW
23%
20%
57%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ARU
3 - 1
RAY
17%
20%
63%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BIL
2 - 1
RAY
77%
15%
8%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
RAM
1 - 2
RAY
74%
16%
11%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
ALT
1 - 0
RAY
54%
22%
24%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |