Horley Town vs Balham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
58.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
CHU
0 - 3
HOR
63%
19%
18%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
BEA
2 - 2
HOR
36%
22%
42%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
HOR
2 - 2
BEA
58%
20%
23%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
TOO
2 - 1
HOR
78%
13%
9%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
RED
1 - 3
HOR
64%
18%
18%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Balham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
RED
1 - 4
BAL
22%
20%
59%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 0
RUS
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
BAL
0 - 2
THA
20%
18%
62%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
EAS
0 - 2
BAL
28%
21%
52%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |