Horley Town vs Alton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
54%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
JBF
3 - 0
HOR
81%
13%
7%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SPE
2 - 1
HOR
38%
22%
40%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
HOR
0 - 2
RED
27%
21%
53%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
HOR
0 - 3
JBF
17%
19%
64%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
HOR
2 - 3
KNA
29%
22%
49%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Alton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
COL
4 - 2
ALT
29%
21%
49%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CRO
0 - 0
ALT
60%
19%
21%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
RED
3 - 0
ALT
41%
22%
37%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
TAD
0 - 1
ALT
45%
21%
34%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ALT
5 - 0
TOO
57%
21%
23%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |