Horizonte vs São Benedito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 1
HOR
21%
24%
55%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
HOR
1 - 3
FOR
26%
26%
48%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 0
HOR
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
HOR
1 - 2
QUI
63%
21%
17%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ICA
4 - 3
HOR
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
São Benedito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 1
GUA
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
ICA
2 - 1
SAO
80%
14%
6%
|
34 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 3
QUI
27%
24%
50%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
3 - 1
ICA
13%
21%
66%
|
33 | 61 | 28 | +3 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 5
FOR
12%
20%
69%
|
34 | 62 | 28 | -1 |