Horizonte vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 1
HOR
19%
22%
59%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
HOR
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
HOR
3 - 4
GUA
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
HOR
3 - 1
SAO
75%
17%
9%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 1
HOR
21%
24%
55%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 1
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 3
ITA
34%
25%
41%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
4 - 4
SAO
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 2
ITA
47%
25%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 1
HOR
21%
24%
55%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |