Cearense 1 Etapas Finales. 1/16
Global 2-2
Horizonte vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
FER
1 - 1
HOR
34%
24%
43%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
HOR
1 - 0
FER
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 4
HOR
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
HOR
4 - 1
ITA
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
CEA
2 - 0
HOR
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
FER
1 - 1
HOR
34%
24%
43%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
HOR
1 - 0
FER
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
FER
1 - 0
TIR
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
FER
4 - 0
ITA
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CEA
1 - 0
FER
73%
18%
10%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |