Horitschon vs St. Margarethen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
21.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horitschon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
OBE
4 - 3
HOR
10%
14%
75%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
HOR
1 - 0
GUS
84%
10%
6%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
RIT
2 - 2
HOR
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
HOR
4 - 2
PAR
18%
20%
62%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +3 |
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
ASK
2 - 2
HOR
45%
22%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
St. Margarethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
STM
0 - 0
ALL
68%
19%
14%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
OBR
4 - 1
STM
67%
18%
16%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
STM
3 - 2
BAS
31%
22%
47%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
STM
2 - 0
SVE
31%
23%
46%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
OBE
4 - 1
STM
9%
16%
75%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | -2 |