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Austria Fourth Division. Burgenland, Matchday 17

Horitschon vs Pinkafeld analysis

Horitschon Pinkafeld
11 ELO 9
60% Tilt 37%
7198º General ELO ranking 7561º
144º Country ELO ranking 198º
ELO win probability
55.5%
Horitschon
20.2%
Draw
24.3%
Pinkafeld

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
Horitschon
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
24.3%
Win probability
Pinkafeld
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Horitschon
+45%
+42%
Pinkafeld

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Siegendorf
41
63
31%
FC Deutschkreutz
39
62
30%
Kohfidisch
32
48
13%
Leithaprodersdorf
30
55
11%
Ritzing
29
51
11%
Bad Sauerbrunn
27
47
10%
Parndorf
24
46
12%
Pinkafeld
24
41
9%
Oberwart / Rotenturm
23
42
9%
St. Margarethen
10º
18
32
12º
10%
Horitschon
11º
17
34
11º
10%
Markt Allhau
12º
17
29
16º
10%
Klingenbach
13º
17
31
13º
11%
SV Eltendorf
14º
15
34
10º
11%
Oberpetersdorf
15º
15
30
14º
12%
Güssing
16º
15
30
15º
11%
Expected probabilities
Horitschon
Pinkafeld
Champion
0% 2%
Mid-table
41% 65%
Could qualify for next round
39% 23%
Relegation
20% 10%

ELO progression

Horitschon
HOR
Pinkafeld
PIN
Leithaprodersdorf
LEI
FC Deutschkreutz
DEU
Markt Allhau
ALL
Kohfidisch
ASK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Horitschon
Horitschon
1%
X%
2%
ELO HOR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2019
KLI
Klingenbach
1 - 0
Horitschon
HOR
45%
27%
28%
164 133 -31 -1
09 Nov. 2019
ASV
Siegendorf
5 - 0
Horitschon
HOR
45%
27%
28%
166 183 17 -2
02 Nov. 2019
HOR
Horitschon
1 - 2
FC Deutschkreutz
DEU
47%
27%
26%
167 137 30 -1
26 Oct. 2019
HOR
Horitschon
2 - 2
SV Eltendorf
SVE
45%
27%
28%
167 205 -38 0
19 Oct. 2019
ALL
Markt Allhau
1 - 2
Horitschon
HOR
46%
27%
27%
166 146 -20 +1

Matches

Pinkafeld
Pinkafeld
1%
X%
2%
ELO PIN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2019
PIN
Pinkafeld
3 - 2
Markt Allhau
ALL
46%
27%
27%
141 144 -3 +1
09 Nov. 2019
PIN
Pinkafeld
2 - 2
Oberwart / Rotenturm
OBR
45%
27%
28%
141 178 -37 0
02 Nov. 2019
BAS
Bad Sauerbrunn
3 - 2
Pinkafeld
PIN
47%
27%
26%
142 241 99 -1
26 Oct. 2019
PIN
Pinkafeld
1 - 3
St. Margarethen
STM
47%
27%
26%
143 102 41 -1
20 Oct. 2019
OBE
Oberpetersdorf
0 - 2
Pinkafeld
PIN
47%
27%
26%
142 171 29 +1