Horitschon vs Bad Sauerbrunn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
37.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
9º
15º
10º
41
5º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
70% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
72.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horitschon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
KLI
4 - 1
HOR
67%
19%
15%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
HOR
0 - 2
STM
37%
23%
40%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HOR
2 - 0
70%
16%
14%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
HOR
0 - 3
DRA
14%
20%
66%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
HOR
1 - 1
SCH
13%
19%
68%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Bad Sauerbrunn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 0
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PIN
0 - 1
BAS
78%
13%
8%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 3
LEI
25%
22%
54%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 1
PAR
10%
15%
76%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ASK
1 - 1
BAS
41%
23%
36%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |