Honiara City vs Marist Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
42.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+87%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honiara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
HOC
1 - 3
SOL
16%
17%
67%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
HOC
2 - 0
WAU
22%
22%
57%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +3 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CCO
1 - 1
HOC
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
HOC
0 - 0
SOU
52%
22%
26%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
KFC
1 - 2
HOC
36%
22%
42%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Marist Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 1
LAU
51%
21%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
HEE
2 - 0
MAR
72%
15%
13%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 0
REA
47%
22%
32%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
KOS
2 - 1
MAR
50%
22%
29%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ISA
1 - 1
MAR
59%
19%
22%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |