Hongg vs Tuggen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
46.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hongg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
STG
0 - 1
HON
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
HON
0 - 1
GRA
39%
24%
38%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
HON
2 - 1
RSZ
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
HON
0 - 5
CHI
19%
22%
59%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
BAD
1 - 1
HON
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
WIN
1 - 2
TUG
32%
24%
43%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
SVS
1 - 3
TUG
33%
25%
43%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
TUG
0 - 2
FCZ
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
MEN
0 - 3
TUG
26%
25%
49%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
TUG
3 - 1
YFJ
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |