Hongg vs Eschen/Mauren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
69.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hongg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
FCT
1 - 2
HON
70%
18%
12%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
HON
1 - 2
FCG
24%
23%
53%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
HON
1 - 6
ZUG
23%
24%
53%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
FCW
1 - 3
HON
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
HON
0 - 3
CHU
46%
24%
31%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Eschen/Mauren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ESC
3 - 2
FCM
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
MEN
1 - 1
ESC
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2013 |
ESC
4 - 1
FCB
42%
24%
35%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ESC
0 - 2
RAP
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
FCT
2 - 3
ESC
29%
23%
48%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |