Hong Kong vs Vietnam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
39.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
HKG
1 - 0
SGP
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
HKG
5 - 1
TWN
76%
14%
10%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
HKG
0 - 5
SAU
15%
24%
61%
|
51 | 85 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
SAU
3 - 0
HKG
77%
17%
6%
|
52 | 85 | 33 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
HKG
1 - 1
MYS
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vietnam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
CHN
3 - 0
VNM
78%
15%
7%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
JPN
1 - 0
VNM
78%
16%
6%
|
60 | 91 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
VNM
2 - 1
QAT
21%
25%
54%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
QAT
3 - 0
VNM
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 7
VNM
19%
21%
61%
|
60 | 25 | 35 | 0 |