Hong Kong vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
68.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
IRN
3 - 1
HKG
87%
10%
3%
|
50 | 88 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
HKG
0 - 2
CHN
11%
20%
70%
|
50 | 81 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
JPN
5 - 0
HKG
87%
10%
3%
|
51 | 88 | 37 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
KOR
2 - 0
HKG
82%
13%
4%
|
51 | 88 | 37 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
HKG
2 - 0
KHM
74%
16%
10%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
IRQ
4 - 1
KHM
83%
13%
4%
|
80 | 31 | 49 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
IRQ
6 - 2
NPL
83%
14%
3%
|
80 | 35 | 45 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
IRQ
0 - 0
TJK
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
UZB
0 - 1
IRQ
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
IRQ
2 - 1
KWT
54%
26%
20%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |