HK Sapling vs Citizen AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
38.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HK Sapling
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
HON
0 - 0
TMS
48%
23%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TMS
3 - 0
HON
35%
24%
41%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
KFC
6 - 0
HON
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
PFC
4 - 0
HON
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
WTP
3 - 0
HON
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
TMS
1 - 2
CAA
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
YOK
2 - 2
CAA
51%
23%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SHA
0 - 1
CAA
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
PFC
1 - 0
CAA
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
TMS
1 - 1
CAA
31%
25%
44%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |