Hong Kong FC vs Sham Shui Po analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
5.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
6º
6º
7
9º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 31 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
WAR
2 - 1
HON
59%
21%
20%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
HON
1 - 1
RES
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
HON
1 - 0
EAS
16%
22%
62%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
KFC
5 - 0
HON
71%
17%
12%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
EAS
3 - 0
HON
70%
17%
13%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sham Shui Po
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 2
RES
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
KFC
7 - 0
SHA
87%
10%
3%
|
39 | 69 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 4
WAR
11%
19%
70%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
HKU
1 - 2
SHA
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
KFC
4 - 1
SHA
91%
8%
2%
|
39 | 69 | 30 | -1 |