Hønefoss vs Skjervøy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.1%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
1º
1º
1º
50
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
HAM
3 - 5
HON
18%
20%
62%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
HON
12 - 0
FYL
90%
7%
3%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
HAR
0 - 5
HON
9%
16%
74%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
SJE
0 - 4
HON
8%
16%
77%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
HON
3 - 2
IFC
83%
11%
6%
|
52 | 20 | 32 | +1 |
Matches
Skjervøy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SIK
0 - 1
FLO
39%
22%
39%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
HAM
2 - 2
SIK
42%
21%
38%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
SIK
0 - 1
ELV
32%
21%
46%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
FBG
1 - 3
SIK
17%
18%
65%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
SIK
5 - 0
MJO
64%
18%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |