Norwegian Fourth Division Round 2

Hønefoss vs Raufoss II analysis

Hønefoss Raufoss II
38 ELO 27
5.8% Tilt 10.2%
3487º General ELO ranking 38289º
51º Country ELO ranking 335º
ELO win probability
75.8%
Hønefoss
14.5%
Draw
9.7%
Raufoss II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
Hønefoss
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.7%
Win probability
Raufoss II
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Hønefoss
Their league position
Raufoss II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
10
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Eidsvold TF
75
75
100%
Hønefoss
73
73
100%
Elverum
52
52
100%
HamKam II
35
35
0%
Molde FK II
35
35
0%
Funnefoss / Vormsund
35
35
0%
Brumunddal
35
35
0%
Florø
30
30
100%
Hødd II
29
29
100%
Förde
10º
28
28
10º
100%
Spjelkavik
11º
27
27
11º
100%
Volda
12º
25
25
12º
100%
Sogndal II
13º
25
25
13º
100%
Raufoss II
14º
10
10
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Hønefoss
Raufoss II
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Hønefoss
Raufoss II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hønefoss
Hønefoss
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2023
BRU
Brumunddal
0 - 2
Hønefoss
HON
36%
23%
41%
37 34 3 0
18 Feb. 2023
GRO
Grorud IL
2 - 0
Hønefoss
HON
74%
16%
11%
37 51 14 0
28 Jan. 2023
MJO
Mjøndalen IF
2 - 1
Hønefoss
HON
79%
14%
7%
37 60 23 0
23 Oct. 2022
HON
Hønefoss
1 - 4
Florø
FLO
38%
25%
37%
39 44 5 -2
16 Oct. 2022
FOR
Förde
4 - 3
Hønefoss
HON
53%
22%
25%
40 42 2 -1

Matches

Raufoss II
Raufoss II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Apr. 2023
RAU
Raufoss II
3 - 3
HamKam II
HAM
92%
6%
2%
27 14 13 0
23 Oct. 2022
BRU
Brumunddal
0 - 1
Raufoss II
RAU
66%
18%
16%
27 35 8 0
16 Oct. 2022
RAU
Raufoss II
5 - 1
Toten
TOT
72%
14%
13%
26 21 5 +1
08 Oct. 2022
SPJ
Spjelkavik
2 - 0
Raufoss II
RAU
63%
20%
17%
27 36 9 -1
02 Oct. 2022
RAU
Raufoss II
2 - 0
Hødd II
HOD
31%
20%
48%
25 31 6 +2