Hønefoss vs Rana FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
12º
8º
11
9º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 55 |
1º
|
61% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 50 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 48 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 45 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 44 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 41 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 41 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 40 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 39 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 25 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 24 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 23 |
12º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 22 |
13º
|
24% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 18 |
14º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97% | 33% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 67% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
STR
0 - 1
HON
22%
21%
57%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
HON
3 - 1
ALT
63%
19%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
EID
2 - 1
HON
45%
23%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
HON
1 - 0
KJE
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
FOL
2 - 3
HON
34%
24%
43%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Rana FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
RFK
1 - 2
EID
17%
20%
63%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
KJE
2 - 2
RFK
69%
19%
13%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
RFK
0 - 1
TRO
12%
19%
69%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
ASK
2 - 0
RFK
46%
23%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
RFK
0 - 1
GRO
22%
23%
55%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |