Hønefoss vs HamKam II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87%
Win probability
3.38
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.7%
4.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
1º
3º
2º
35
4º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
HON
4 - 0
FOR
65%
19%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
SPJ
1 - 2
HON
14%
18%
68%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
HON
2 - 0
FLO
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
HOD
0 - 4
HON
19%
19%
62%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
HON
2 - 0
EID
28%
24%
48%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
HamKam II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
HAM
4 - 2
SPJ
31%
21%
49%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
FOR
3 - 1
HAM
83%
11%
7%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
HAM
2 - 3
EID
9%
14%
77%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
FVI
0 - 3
HAM
77%
13%
10%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
HAM
3 - 4
HOD
27%
19%
54%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |