Norwegian Eliteserien Round 5

Hønefoss vs Aalesunds FK analysis

Hønefoss Aalesunds FK
72 ELO 78
5.6% Tilt 9.7%
3446º General ELO ranking 1607º
50º Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
34.2%
Hønefoss
26.9%
Draw
39%
Aalesunds FK

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
Hønefoss
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
39%
Win probability
Aalesunds FK
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hønefoss
+1%
+14%
Aalesunds FK

ELO progression

Hønefoss
Aalesunds FK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hønefoss
Hønefoss
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Apr. 2012
STB
Stabæk
0 - 2
Hønefoss
HON
62%
21%
17%
71 76 5 0
09 Apr. 2012
HON
Hønefoss
1 - 1
Fredrikstad
FFK
38%
26%
36%
70 75 5 +1
01 Apr. 2012
SOG
Sogndal
0 - 0
Hønefoss
HON
45%
27%
29%
70 72 2 0
24 Mar. 2012
HON
Hønefoss
0 - 0
Lillestrom SK
LSK
46%
26%
29%
70 72 2 0
30 Oct. 2011
LOV
Løv-Ham Fotball
2 - 5
Hønefoss
HON
13%
22%
65%
70 51 19 0

Matches

Aalesunds FK
Aalesunds FK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2012
ELP
Aalesunds FK
2 - 1
Odd
ODD
44%
26%
30%
78 78 0 0
09 Apr. 2012
SAN
Sandnes Ulf
1 - 1
Aalesunds FK
ELP
26%
27%
48%
78 65 13 0
02 Apr. 2012
ELP
Aalesunds FK
0 - 0
Tromsø IL
TRO
41%
27%
33%
78 80 2 0
25 Mar. 2012
STB
Stabæk
0 - 0
Aalesunds FK
ELP
49%
25%
26%
78 77 1 0
12 Jan. 2012
TWE
Twente
1 - 1
Aalesunds FK
ELP
72%
18%
11%
79 88 9 -1