Honduras vs United States analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
58.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
GRC
2 - 1
HND
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
BLR
1 - 1
HND
29%
27%
45%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
GTM
2 - 1
HND
32%
25%
43%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
HND
1 - 1
NIC
83%
13%
5%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
HND
4 - 0
TTO
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
CHE
2 - 1
USA
45%
25%
30%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
NIR
1 - 2
USA
10%
21%
70%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
USA
4 - 1
JAM
82%
12%
6%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2021 |
USA
7 - 0
TTO
84%
11%
5%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
USA
6 - 0
SLV
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |