Honduras vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
50.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
HND
4 - 0
PRI
91%
8%
2%
|
80 | 37 | 43 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
HND
4 - 0
SLV
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
HND
0 - 1
CUW
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2019 |
JAM
3 - 2
HND
33%
25%
42%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
BRA
7 - 0
HND
87%
10%
3%
|
80 | 97 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
CHL
0 - 0
ARG
38%
26%
37%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
ARG
2 - 1
CHL
61%
21%
18%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
CHL
0 - 3
PER
61%
21%
18%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
COL
0 - 0
CHL
50%
24%
26%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2019 |
CHL
0 - 1
URY
44%
24%
32%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |