Honduras vs Jamaica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
USA
1 - 0
HND
64%
21%
16%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
HND
0 - 3
PRY
37%
28%
35%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
HND
0 - 3
PRY
38%
28%
35%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
HND
0 - 2
COL
37%
29%
35%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
HND
2 - 0
VEN
50%
25%
25%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
JAM
0 - 2
COL
25%
29%
45%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
ECU
5 - 2
JAM
67%
21%
13%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
CHN
1 - 0
JAM
58%
24%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
JAM
0 - 2
USA
16%
23%
61%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2011 |
HND
0 - 1
JAM
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |