Honduras vs Jamaica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
CRI
1 - 0
HND
52%
24%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
HND
0 - 2
ISR
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
PAN
2 - 0
HND
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
HND
2 - 2
MEX
21%
24%
56%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
HND
2 - 1
USA
32%
27%
41%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
JAM
1 - 2
USA
21%
27%
52%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
JAM
0 - 1
MEX
13%
22%
66%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
CRI
2 - 0
JAM
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
JAM
1 - 1
PAN
40%
27%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
MEX
0 - 0
JAM
79%
15%
6%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | +1 |