CONCACAF League of Nations 3rd - 4rd place

Honduras vs Costa Rica analysis

Honduras Costa Rica
80 ELO 83
-1.8% Tilt 2.2%
714º General ELO ranking 276º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
38.2%
Honduras
26.2%
Draw
35.6%
Costa Rica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
Honduras
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35.6%
Win probability
Costa Rica
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Honduras
-5%
-9%
Costa Rica

ELO progression

Honduras
Costa Rica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Honduras
Honduras
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jun. 2021
HND
Honduras
0 - 1
USA
USA
18%
24%
58%
80 90 10 0
28 Mar. 2021
GRC
Greece
2 - 1
Honduras
HND
45%
26%
29%
81 83 2 -1
24 Mar. 2021
BLR
Belarus
1 - 1
Honduras
HND
29%
27%
45%
81 73 8 0
15 Nov. 2020
GTM
Guatemala
2 - 1
Honduras
HND
32%
25%
43%
81 71 10 0
11 Oct. 2020
HND
Honduras
1 - 1
Nicaragua
NIC
83%
13%
5%
81 50 31 0

Matches

Costa Rica
Costa Rica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jun. 2021
MEX
Mexico
0 - 0
Costa Rica
CRC
75%
16%
8%
83 92 9 0
30 Mar. 2021
CRC
Costa Rica
0 - 1
Mexico
MEX
13%
22%
66%
84 91 7 -1
27 Mar. 2021
BIH
Bosnia
0 - 0
Costa Rica
CRC
44%
25%
32%
84 82 2 0
13 Nov. 2020
CRC
Costa Rica
1 - 1
Catar
QAT
48%
25%
27%
84 83 1 0
14 Oct. 2020
CRC
Costa Rica
0 - 1
Panama
PAN
62%
22%
16%
84 79 5 0
X