Honduras vs Canada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
COL
2 - 1
HND
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
CRI
2 - 1
HND
52%
25%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
HND
2 - 3
PAN
46%
26%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
HND
0 - 2
JAM
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
MEX
3 - 0
HND
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
CAN
2 - 1
MEX
16%
23%
61%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 0
CRI
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
CAN
4 - 1
PAN
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
JAM
0 - 0
CAN
32%
27%
42%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
MEX
1 - 1
CAN
77%
16%
8%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |