Honduras Progreso vs CD Marathón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
51.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
RSO
4 - 2
HNP
42%
24%
35%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
OLI
3 - 0
HNP
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
HNP
1 - 2
JAG
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2022 |
HNP
2 - 1
MOT
20%
24%
55%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
MOT
3 - 2
HNP
69%
19%
11%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
RES
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
VID
3 - 0
MAR
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
OLI
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
PLA
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
OLI
3 - 0
MAR
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -2 |