FC 08 Homburg vs Spielberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
KAI
0 - 1
HOM
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
HOM
1 - 0
PIR
50%
26%
24%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
HOM
2 - 0
FRE
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
AST
3 - 1
HOM
30%
25%
46%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
HOM
1 - 0
WWO
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Spielberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SPI
2 - 0
PIR
30%
26%
44%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
WWO
5 - 1
SPI
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SPI
1 - 0
STE
38%
22%
40%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
FRE
5 - 0
SPI
72%
17%
12%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
SPI
1 - 5
OFC
14%
20%
66%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | 0 |