Holywell vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
59%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holywell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
AIR
4 - 0
HOL
83%
12%
6%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
RHY
1 - 0
HOL
75%
16%
10%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
HOL
0 - 2
BUC
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 1
HOL
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
CON
3 - 1
HOL
52%
22%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
POR
6 - 0
GRE
71%
17%
13%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
RTW
2 - 0
POR
28%
24%
48%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
POR
1 - 0
CON
76%
15%
10%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
DEN
0 - 3
POR
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
POR
2 - 0
HOL
88%
9%
4%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |