Holywell vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holywell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
HOL
2 - 3
LLA
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
HOL
3 - 0
HOL
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
GUI
0 - 0
HOL
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
PEN
3 - 3
HOL
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2019 |
DEN
1 - 3
HOL
53%
22%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
BUC
2 - 2
COL
31%
24%
46%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
COL
2 - 0
COR
84%
10%
6%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
COL
2 - 1
PEN
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
LLA
2 - 3
COL
12%
17%
71%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
LLA
0 - 1
COL
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |