Holstein Kiel vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
29.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
KÖL
0 - 0
HOL
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
HOL
1 - 0
ARB
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CHE
0 - 0
HOL
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
HOL
3 - 0
HAL
53%
26%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MAI
1 - 1
HOL
27%
26%
46%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
MSV
2 - 0
ERF
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
PRE
1 - 0
MSV
48%
26%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
MSV
0 - 0
KOL
24%
26%
50%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
MSV
0 - 0
SGD
44%
27%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
COT
2 - 0
MSV
43%
27%
31%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -3 |