Holstein Kiel U19 vs St. Pauli U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
60.8%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
6º
8º
8º
15
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
HOL
3 - 2
BAK
25%
20%
55%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HAM
5 - 1
HOL
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PAU
3 - 2
HOL
69%
17%
14%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
HOL
2 - 1
HAN
19%
18%
63%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FCM
9 - 0
HOL
48%
21%
30%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
St. Pauli U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
HAM
3 - 0
PAU
63%
18%
19%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 1
PAU
81%
12%
7%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PAU
3 - 1
FCM
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
PAU
2 - 4
HAM
26%
21%
53%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PAU
3 - 2
HOL
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |