Holstebro vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
72.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstebro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
SKI
1 - 2
HOL
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
HOL
1 - 3
HOL
29%
22%
50%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
NAS
1 - 0
HOL
68%
17%
15%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
HOL
1 - 2
THI
16%
20%
63%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
OFA
3 - 2
HOL
53%
21%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
AAF
3 - 1
FRE
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
AAF
4 - 1
OFA
80%
13%
7%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
SKI
1 - 2
AAF
26%
25%
49%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
AAF
4 - 1
BRA
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
JAM
3 - 0
AAF
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |