Holmer Green vs Risborough Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.1%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
80.1%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.4%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.7%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holmer Green
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
HOL
2 - 3
ARL
14%
17%
69%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
AYL
8 - 1
HOL
73%
16%
12%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
HOL
2 - 4
BRU
20%
20%
60%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
DUN
2 - 2
HOL
72%
16%
13%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
HOL
1 - 2
MKI
17%
19%
64%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Risborough Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
RIS
4 - 1
OXH
83%
11%
6%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
HAR
0 - 2
RIS
11%
16%
73%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
RIS
2 - 1
MKI
86%
10%
4%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
BAL
0 - 2
RIS
9%
15%
76%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CRA
0 - 4
RIS
7%
13%
80%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | 0 |