Holmer Green vs Crawley Green analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
22.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holmer Green
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
BRU
2 - 0
HOL
73%
15%
12%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
HOL
2 - 0
HAR
18%
19%
62%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
LEI
7 - 1
HOL
85%
10%
5%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
TRI
1 - 2
HOL
50%
21%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ARL
1 - 2
HOL
83%
11%
6%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Crawley Green
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
ARL
1 - 1
CRA
81%
12%
8%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MKI
2 - 1
CRA
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
OXH
1 - 1
CRA
81%
12%
7%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CRA
2 - 3
HAT
19%
19%
62%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
AVE
4 - 1
CRA
73%
16%
11%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |