Hollandia vs Ajax Amateurs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
43.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
5º
12º
7º
60
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
52.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
52.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 31 |
15º
|
69.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hollandia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SJC
1 - 0
HOL
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
HOL
3 - 0
ALP
76%
15%
9%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
JOS
2 - 1
HOL
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
HOL
4 - 2
ARC
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
PUR
2 - 1
HOL
54%
23%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax Amateurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AJA
3 - 1
HED
72%
17%
12%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SWI
1 - 1
AJA
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
HOO
0 - 1
AJA
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 0
ALP
85%
11%
5%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
DHS
0 - 4
AJA
20%
23%
57%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | +1 |