Holguín vs Pinar del Rio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holguín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
SAN
2 - 0
HOL
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2007 |
HOL
2 - 1
GRA
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
HOL
0 - 1
CIE
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
ISL
1 - 3
HOL
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2007 |
PIN
3 - 0
HOL
51%
25%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pinar del Rio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
PIN
5 - 0
ISL
66%
21%
14%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
FCL
0 - 0
PIN
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2007 |
PIN
1 - 0
CIU
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
MAT
2 - 2
PIN
40%
27%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
IND
1 - 3
PIN
31%
27%
43%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |