Netherlands U23 vs Japan U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
USA
2 - 2
NLD
45%
24%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2008 |
NLD
0 - 0
NIG
62%
20%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1976 |
ROU
5 - 1
NLD
89%
8%
3%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | +4 |
| 06 Apr. 1976 |
NLD
0 - 3
ROU
18%
23%
59%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1976 |
FRA
4 - 2
NLD
67%
17%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Japan U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
NIG
2 - 1
JAP
34%
25%
42%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2008 |
JAP
0 - 1
USA
50%
23%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2006 |
JAP
1 - 2
PRK
79%
14%
7%
|
60 | 16 | 44 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
SIR
0 - 1
JAP
28%
23%
48%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2006 |
JAP
3 - 2
PAK
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |