European U19 Championship qualifying Ronda de Clasificación Round 3

Netherlands U19 vs Ukraine U19 analysis

Netherlands U19 Ukraine U19
64 ELO 61
-2% Tilt -7.6%
2283º General ELO ranking 22763º
45º Country ELO ranking 107º
ELO win probability
46.8%
Netherlands U19
24.2%
Draw
29%
Ukraine U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
Netherlands U19
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29%
Win probability
Ukraine U19
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Netherlands U19
Ukraine U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Netherlands U19
Netherlands U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2024
NED
Netherlands U19
2 - 0
Kazakhstan U19
KAZ
78%
14%
8%
63 30 33 0
13 Nov. 2024
SVN
Slovenia U19
0 - 2
Netherlands U19
NED
18%
19%
63%
63 52 11 0
26 Mar. 2024
BEL
Belgium U19
3 - 2
Netherlands U19
NED
40%
25%
35%
63 61 2 0
23 Mar. 2024
NED
Netherlands U19
0 - 1
France U19
FRA
25%
24%
51%
64 76 12 -1
20 Mar. 2024
NED
Netherlands U19
4 - 0
Lithuania U19
LTU
81%
13%
6%
64 35 29 0

Matches

Ukraine U19
Ukraine U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2024
UKR
Ukraine U19
0 - 1
Slovenia U19
SVN
57%
22%
21%
63 51 12 0
13 Nov. 2024
UKR
Ukraine U19
1 - 2
Kazakhstan U19
KAZ
76%
15%
9%
63 29 34 0
25 Jul. 2024
FRA
France U19
1 - 0
Ukraine U19
UKR
65%
20%
15%
63 77 14 0
21 Jul. 2024
UKR
Ukraine U19
3 - 2
Italy U19
ITA
31%
26%
44%
63 69 6 0
18 Jul. 2024
NOR
Norway U19
0 - 0
Ukraine U19
UKR
42%
24%
34%
63 60 3 0