Hoi Fan vs Hong Ngai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
15.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoi Fan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
PSP
1 - 0
HFM
41%
24%
34%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
GDA
2 - 3
HFM
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +3 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
MCA
5 - 1
HFM
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
FCP
3 - 0
HFM
56%
22%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 1
HFM
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Hong Ngai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
GDA
2 - 9
HNM
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
MCA
7 - 0
HNM
74%
15%
10%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
FCP
3 - 0
HNM
71%
17%
12%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
HNM
2 - 2
MAC
28%
23%
49%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
HNM
2 - 6
WAK
27%
23%
51%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |