Hofstra vs James Madison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
29.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hofstra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CCR
1 - 1
HFP
9%
14%
77%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
DLW
1 - 4
HFP
10%
15%
75%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
HFP
4 - 1
WMM
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
HFP
2 - 1
DUD
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
NTH
2 - 1
HFP
39%
22%
40%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
James Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
JMD
3 - 1
WMM
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
EPX
0 - 2
JMD
32%
23%
45%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
DLW
0 - 3
JMD
13%
18%
69%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
JMD
1 - 0
CCR
83%
11%
6%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
UCF
2 - 1
JMD
49%
22%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |