Hoek vs Zwaluwen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
HEI
0 - 1
HOE
25%
23%
52%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
HOE
0 - 2
JOD
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
QUI
2 - 1
HOE
62%
22%
17%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
DEL
1 - 0
HOE
21%
22%
57%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
HOE
4 - 1
HAA
64%
20%
17%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
DEL
4 - 1
ZWA
27%
24%
50%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ZWA
2 - 2
SPO
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
SPI
2 - 0
ZWA
52%
23%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ZWA
1 - 3
RIJ
41%
24%
35%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
NOO
1 - 1
ZWA
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |