Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
39.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
7º
18º
8º
50
3º
18º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 54 |
6º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
76% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
15º
|
76% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
|
18º
|
27 | 27 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
HOE
1 - 1
EXC
47%
24%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
STE
1 - 3
HOE
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GVV
0 - 0
HOE
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HOE
1 - 5
BAR
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
RIJ
1 - 0
HOE
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Nijkerk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SPA
2 - 1
BAR
49%
24%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
SPA
1 - 1
EXC
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
RIJ
0 - 1
SPA
29%
24%
46%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SPA
2 - 1
DVS
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
URK
5 - 1
SPA
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |