Hoek vs Harkemase Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
7º
18º
8º
38
10º
18º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 54 |
6º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
76% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
15º
|
76% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
27 | 27 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ACV
4 - 1
HOE
39%
25%
37%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
HOE
2 - 4
SCH
9%
15%
76%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HOE
6 - 0
DOV
44%
24%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ASW
0 - 3
HOE
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
HOE
1 - 2
TER
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Harkemase Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HAR
2 - 0
EXC
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
HAR
1 - 5
VOL
7%
14%
79%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GVV
3 - 2
HAR
65%
19%
16%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HAR
1 - 2
BAR
46%
23%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
VOL
2 - 1
HAR
56%
21%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |