Hochdorf vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
40.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hochdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HOC
2 - 0
CAS
56%
21%
24%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BRU
1 - 2
HOC
41%
22%
38%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
HOC
3 - 1
ASC
36%
23%
41%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
HOC
1 - 1
TAV
33%
23%
44%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 2
HOC
31%
21%
48%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HER
2 - 4
BRU
67%
17%
16%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
HER
1 - 0
VED
85%
10%
5%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
HER
3 - 0
SAR
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
IBA
1 - 1
HER
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
HER
6 - 3
HOC
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |